WMT
upcomingWAL-MART STORES INC
Expected Move Analysis
$130.43
±6.8%
±$8.84
58
High
0.90
Bullish bias
Analysis & Commentary
WAL-MART STORES INC (WMT) reports earnings Thursday . Consensus EPS estimate is $0.65.
The expected move of ±6.8% translates to roughly ±$8.86 from the current price of $130.72. This defines the range the market is pricing in for the post-earnings reaction.
IV Rank sits at 58, indicating fairly-priced options. Neither premium sellers nor buyers have a clear structural edge here — let your directional thesis guide the trade.
An iron butterfly at the money could be effective here. The defined-risk structure works well when you expect the stock to stay near current levels after the report.
Enter the position 1-2 days before earnings to capture the final IV ramp. Plan to close the morning after the report once IV collapses — don't hold hoping for further decay.
Consumer names can move on same-store sales, foot traffic data, inventory levels, and forward guidance on discretionary spending trends.

