HD
upcomingHOME DEPOT INC
Expected Move Analysis
$317.45
±7.0%
±$22.13
85
High
1.15
Bearish bias
Analysis & Commentary
HOME DEPOT INC (HD) reports earnings Tuesday . Consensus EPS estimate is $3.42.
The expected move of ±7.0% translates to roughly ±$22.13 from the current price of $317.45. This defines the range the market is pricing in for the post-earnings reaction.
IV Rank is elevated at 85, indicating options premiums are pricing in a larger-than-usual move. This creates an edge for premium sellers — the IV crush after the event can be significant.
A short strangle with strikes beyond the ±7.0% expected move could capture the IV crush. This is a higher-risk play — consider defined-risk alternatives or strict position sizing.
Enter the position 1-2 days before earnings to capture the final IV ramp. Plan to close the morning after the report once IV collapses — don't hold hoping for further decay.
Consumer names can move on same-store sales, foot traffic data, inventory levels, and forward guidance on discretionary spending trends.

