DE

DEERE & CO (DE) reports earnings Thursday . Consensus EPS estimate is $5.81.

The expected move of ±8.0% translates to roughly ±$45.76 from the current price of $574.84. This defines the range the market is pricing in for the post-earnings reaction.

IV Rank is elevated at 83, indicating options premiums are pricing in a larger-than-usual move. This creates an edge for premium sellers — the IV crush after the event can be significant.

A short strangle with strikes beyond the ±8.0% expected move could capture the IV crush. This is a higher-risk play — consider defined-risk alternatives or strict position sizing.

Enter the position 1-2 days before earnings to capture the final IV ramp. Plan to close the morning after the report once IV collapses — don't hold hoping for further decay.

Industrial earnings frequently react to order backlog, book-to-bill ratios, and management commentary on economic conditions.