Earnings DashboardMiss
CF
reportedCF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC
After Market Closelarge capWednesday, May 6, 2026
Expected Move Analysis
Expected
11.4%
Current Stock Price
$109.48
Expected Move
±11.4%
±$12.49
IV Rank
69
High
Put/Call Ratio
0.90
Bullish bias
Earnings Results
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Estimate
$2.12
Actual
$1.85
Analysis & Commentary
CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) reports earnings Wednesday after the close. Consensus EPS estimate is $2.12.
IV Rank is elevated at 69, indicating options premiums are pricing in a larger-than-usual move. This creates an edge for premium sellers — the IV crush after the event can be significant.
An iron butterfly at the money could be effective here. The defined-risk structure works well when you expect the stock to stay near current levels after the report.
Enter the position 1-2 days before earnings to capture the final IV ramp. Plan to close the morning after the report once IV collapses — don't hold hoping for further decay.

