AES
reportedAES CORP
Expected Move Analysis
$14.68
±3.4%
±$0.49
5
Low
0.55
Bullish bias
Earnings Results
Estimate
$0.50
Actual
$0.27
Analysis & Commentary
AES CORP (AES) reports earnings Wednesday after the close. Consensus EPS estimate is $0.50.
The expected move of ±3.4% translates to roughly ±$0.48 from the current price of $14.41. This defines the range the market is pricing in for the post-earnings reaction.
IV Rank is low at 5, suggesting options are relatively cheap heading into earnings. Premium buyers may find value, especially if you expect a move larger than what's implied.
Low IV makes buying premium attractive. A long strangle gives you exposure to a big move in either direction at a reduced cost compared to a straddle.
Enter 2-3 days before earnings to catch the pre-event IV expansion. If buying premium, consider taking profits at the open after earnings if the stock gaps in your favor — theta works against you fast post-event.

